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Kelly Criterion Calculator

Calculate the mathematically optimal bet size for long-term growth.

Kelly Fraction

8.33%

Recommended Stake

$83.33

Expected Value

+12.50%

Fractional Kelly Options

Many bettors use fractional Kelly to reduce variance while still growing their bankroll.

StrategyFractionStake% of Bankroll
Full Kelly1x$83.338.33%
Half Kelly0.5x$41.674.17%
Quarter Kelly0.25x$20.832.08%
Eighth Kelly0.125x$10.421.04%

How It Works

The Kelly Criterion maximizes long-term bankroll growth by sizing bets proportionally to your edge.

f* = (bp - q) / b

Where:
  f* = fraction of bankroll to wager
  b  = decimal odds - 1 (net odds)
  p  = probability of winning
  q  = probability of losing (1 - p)

Make better betting decisions

Learn more about sports betting strategy and data-driven approaches on our blog.

Read the Blog